Garnet Capital Advisors - Garnet Capital Advisors Blog

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Potential Easing Inflation Picture May Have Lasting Ramifications

August 24, 2022

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Created in the wake of the Great Recession of 2008-2009, the CFPB was tasked with protecting the American consumer from perceived excess fees being charged in financial transactions. As interesting as that mission is, the average person is blissfully unaware of what the CFPB does, or that it even exists. It is an agency that often flies under the radar for most, but it is important to understand that the agency is making moves at this time that will broaden its overall powers.
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Economy / Rates

CFPB Widening Its Power Under Chopra

June 27, 2022

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There is naturally a lot of concern and focus on debtors during an economically turbulent time. One must also ask what creditors intend to do about their own portfolios when things start to get a little shaky. The increased concerns about the economy have meant that many debtors have pulled back on their credit card usage, and most are paying down their current balances. It turns out that this is a unique reaction to an economic shock.
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Fintech Economy / Rates

Cooling Consumer Sentiment and Spending Obscures Outlooks for Financial Industry

October 5, 2021

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Investors and the stock market as a whole did not seem to be fully prepared for the announcement from the Federal Reserve on Wednesday, June 16, 2021 that it would begin to reduce its levels of bond purchases and add some interest rate hikes to its forecast for 2023. In fact, the previous forecast from the Federal Reserve had zero anticipated rate hikes in 2023, but their most recent outlook called for two in that year. The US dollar jumped against all major currencies on the news, but the stock markets got a lot choppier as a result. CNBC reported on the response from one investment officer as such:
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Residential Economy / Rates

Fed Set To Raise Rates Sooner Than Expected As Policy Decisions Weigh On Real Economy

June 29, 2021

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The Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) reports that the U.S. economy is poised for the fastest recovery in recent times, which spells good news for bankers and lenders.
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Economy / Rates

The Economy: Poised to Recover Quickly

June 21, 2021

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The Fed Vice Chair for Supervision is exhorting the banks to lend more but realizes that there may be disincentives. One avenue banks and credit union can take is to buy high quality, shorter duration consumer assets with yields to bolster balance sheets.
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Economy / Rates

Regulators Want Banks to Lend More

January 6, 2021

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Banks are tightening for commercial and consumer borrowers amid the coronavirus pandemic and continued economic uncertainty.
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Economy / Rates

Banks Are Tightening Credit

December 15, 2020

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With a COVID-19 vaccine on the horizon, the economy will likely improve as pent-up demand among consumers is released when restrictions are eased. This environment could drive inflation and interest rates up.
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Economy / Rates

A COVID Vaccine Could Release Pent-Up Demand and Cause Inflation

December 1, 2020

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Reserves are increasing among credit unions due to bad loans and a decline in income. This comes as credit unions see a high volume of low rate mortgages and sluggish lending in more profitable loans. Credit unions may want to sell off bad assets and replace them with purchased high-quality loans.
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Economy / Rates

What the NCUA's Latest Data Says About the Impact of COVID-19

October 20, 2020

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Despite the ongoing health crisis and the recent uptick in infections, the US economy continues to recover, and faster than expected.
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Economy / Rates

U.S. Economy Continues to Recover

October 7, 2020

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New data suggests that the US economy is recovering, and given this optimistic environment, now may be a great time for lenders to sell loans to create a more robust loan portfolio.
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Economy / Rates

The U.S. Economy is Recovering

September 22, 2020

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Household debt and delinquencies are down, and with fewer delinquencies, there are fewer charge-offs, creating a supply/demand imbalance. This may be a good time for lenders to sell delinquent accounts.
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Economy / Rates

Household Debt and Delinquencies Are Falling

September 10, 2020

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nterest rates continue to remain at historic lows thanks to the recent Federal Reserve meeting. This is helping loan assets to be priced at attractive levels for banks and credit unions, who may want to act now to sell off certain assets.
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Economy / Rates

U.S. Interest Rates Will Likely Remain Low

August 21, 2020

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Despite the fact that bank profits are way down due to the coronavirus pandemic, they were still profitable. Banks may want to revisit their loan portfolio and sell off pre-COVID distressed assets to make room for loans that are just now exhibiting stress.
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Economy / Rates

Banks Remain Profitable Even With a Dip in Results

July 15, 2020

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Economy / Rates

It Looks Like the Back to Work Wave Has Begun

June 23, 2020

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Banks are making an effort to help out consumers and businesses suffering financially due to the coronavirus pandemic, but their helping hand has a long history that goes back a century.
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Economy / Rates

Banks Have Helped US Out of a Recession Before - And They Will Do It Again

June 17, 2020

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Economy / Rates

Unemployment Remains High and a Drag on the Economy and Recovery

June 3, 2020

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A recent survey suggests that the non-manufacturing sector is contracting. Meanwhile, respondents express concern over when business will resume to normal operational levels as the COVID-19 pandemic looms.
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Economy / Rates

Surveys Beginning to Track the Extent of Economic Contraction

May 28, 2020

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Fear of lawsuits, which are currently running rampant, will slow the back-to-work effort following the COVID-19 pandemic when it finally gets underway. Such concerns are triggering businesses to adopt coronavirus-protection plans to avoid litigation.
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Economy / Rates

Litigation Concerns Abound in COVID-19 Eventual Restart

May 21, 2020

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Consumer spending has slowed thanks to the COVID-19 pandemic. And with slower spending comes slower or negative growth in the economy, leading to business and loan failures.
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Economy / Rates

Slower Spending Translates to Trouble for the Economy, Businesses, and Lenders

April 22, 2020

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In response to the economic turmoil stemming from COVID-19, the government is taking extreme measures to prop up the economy. And one such effort is the Federal Reserve adding massive amounts of liquidity into the market.
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Economy / Rates

Federal Reserve Measures to Prop Up the Economy

April 6, 2020

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Economy / Rates

Despite Appearances - Experts Predict Normalcy Returning to Markets Soon

March 25, 2020

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Strong numbers in job growth and wage increases over recent weeks point to a healthy labor force. And with positive sentiment among American consumers, they are in a better position to manage their debt, which is a good thing for both consumers and lenders.
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Economy / Rates

American Job Creation is Strong - Positive for Americans to Pay Off Debt

February 25, 2020

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With the cycle coming to a close, lenders, fund managers, and investors are prepping for the next recession. And to do that, they are making efforts to reduce their exposure to distressed and delinquent assets.
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Economy / Rates

Funds Are Lowering Their Exposure in Anticipation of an Economic Slowdown

February 11, 2020

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Economy / Rates

How Lower Rates Are Impacting Bank and Credit Union Earnings

January 27, 2020

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The economy is in a good place for now, but it's also the right time for banks to de-risk their loan portfolios. With a stable economy and interest rate environment, banks should be looking to de-risk sooner rather than later and sell into a hungry or seller's market instead of waiting for a downturn when prices are much lower.
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Economy / Rates

The Economy Continues to Be In a Good Place - For Now

November 26, 2019

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The US Treasury is selling bonds at a negative interest rate for the first time. The bonds are inflation-protected, so the interest rate can certainly increase in the future, but for now, they yield a negative 0.550 percent, which mirrors foreign countries that are stuck in slow or no-growth economies.
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Economy / Rates

U.S. Treasury Sells Bonds With Negative Interest Rates For the First Time

November 20, 2019

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With LIBOR slated to be replaced by SOFR in a couple of years, many banks are concerned about the effects that the transition may have on their bottom line. That said, there are steps that banks should take to prepare for the change, including reassessing their loan portfolios.
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Economy / Rates

Lenders Need to Prepare for Life After LIBOR

November 12, 2019

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The Federal Reserve's recent cuts to interest rates have narrowed profit margins for banks. This puts them in a position to make some strategic moves when it comes to their loan portfolios to ward off future risk.
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Economy / Rates

Narrowing Margins Leading to Higher Anxiety

November 5, 2019

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Economy / Rates

Bank Lending Is Down As the Economy Slows

November 1, 2019

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Restaurant loans are struggling right now with many casual dining chins filing for bankruptcy protection. Could this be a sign that an economic downturn is looming?
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Economy / Rates Industry Outlook

Do Restaurant Bankruptcies Signal an Impending Economic Downturn?

September 17, 2019

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Unemployment among youths is at a low over recent years, which is a sign that people are more eager to work and that the economy is stronger than it has been in a long time.
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Economy / Rates

Summer Employment for Teens was at an All-Time High -- Here's Why It Matters

September 10, 2019

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With banks and credit unions now in a lower rate environment, reporting asset growth and quality in the coming quarters will be necessary. Offsetting the pressure of low rates on margins can be done by pushing for more loan growth and expanding loan portfolios.
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Economy / Rates

How Banks Can Thrive in a Lower Rate Environment

August 27, 2019

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With economic uncertainty still lurking and the impact of the recent slash in interest rates, banks need to be more carefully assessing their portfolios. Thinking long-term about growth and asset management is prudent.
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Economy / Rates

How Healthy Banks Are Growing Their Revenue Streams

August 14, 2019

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Economy / Rates

Treasury Yields Are Falling -- Now Is the Time to Look at Your Loan Portfolio

June 24, 2019

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With recently imposed tariffs on Chinese goods, many are expecting the Federal Reserve to slash rates shortly. Here's a glimpse of what might be in store.
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Economy / Rates

Recent Policy Changes May Be a Catalyst for Lower Interest Rates

May 28, 2019

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The latest numbers paint a picture of a stronger economy over the first quarter, but what will the second half of 2019 show?
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Economy / Rates

The Future of the U.S. Economy Looks Bright -- Here's the Latest

May 6, 2019

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Lower bond yields and weaker consumer spending point to mild inflation and a continued low-interest environment, concerning investors and prompting lenders to take a closer look at their loan portfolios.
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Economy / Rates

Will the Mild Inflationary Cycle Put Downward Pressure on Interest Rates?

May 2, 2019

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The economy might not be as strong as it could be right now, but it may be showing signs that it's stabilizing. That said, it's still somewhat of a fragile growth story. Read on for more about the current state of the economy.
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Economy / Rates

Q1 Consumer Spending Numbers Tell a Fragile Growth Story

April 26, 2019

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Over the past decade, the number of "zombie" companies has been on the rise. What does this mean for the economy and lending as a whole? Read on to find out.
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Economy / Rates

Recent Report Shows that 13% of Companies Are Plagued by Debt

April 25, 2019

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What's the likely scenario on interest rates for 2019? Click here to find out.
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Residential Economy / Rates

Is the Window of Benign Interest Rates Closing?

March 26, 2019

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A majority of the earnings reports are in for the S&P 500, and corporate profits remain strong. Analysts are, however, predicting a dip in earnings growth in 2019 thanks to several factors.
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Economy / Rates

Corporate Profits Remain Strong in 2019

March 25, 2019

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The Fed is mulling over the idea of letting inflation go over the 2 percent target more often while dealing with the real possibility that interest rates will continue to hover around historic lows.
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Economy / Rates

The Fed is Pondering Higher Inflation -- Here's Why

March 22, 2019

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If warning signs are on the horizon, what portfolio adjustments should you be making today?
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Commercial Economy / Rates

How to Respond to Weaker Loan Demand

March 15, 2019

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The banking system is healthy, but there are challenges ahead.
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Economy / Rates

FDIC Report Provides Insights on the Health of the Banking System

March 11, 2019

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Home prices and sales are sluggish, but the consumer is doing just fine due to a strong employment picture. For lenders, now may be a good time to get out of long-term low-interest rate assets such as mortgages, and invest in shorter duration, higher-yielding assets.
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Economy / Rates

New Insights on the Economy Prove Valuable for Lenders

February 12, 2019

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Job creation in the U.S. slowed in November, but the unemployment rate is still the lowest seen in half a century. Despite this strength, though, several economic factors are more ominous, such as trade war uncertainty, slowing home sales, and slackening car sales.
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Economy / Rates

U.S. Job Growth Slows in November. What Does the Future Hold?

December 20, 2018

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Recently, the yield curve on U.S. Treasuries (specifically between the 3 and 5 year) inverted for the first time in 11 years. An inverted yield curve is often viewed as a sign that a recession may be coming. While the U.S. Federal Reserve has indicated it will raise interest rates through 2019, the market has begun pricing in declining rates in 2020. Investors with a risk-on stance may want to contact a loan sale advisor such as Garnet Capital to add higher interest-rate assets to their portfolio.
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Economy / Rates

The U.S. Treasuries' Yield Curve Is Flattening and Inverting: What It Means for Investors

December 17, 2018

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The labor market has had a very positive year, and October was no exception. Roughly 250,000 jobs were added last month and wages climbed modestly, a welcome change from previous periods of stagnating wages. The robust job market is leading to strong business and consumer sentiment and an expanding gross domestic product.
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Economy / Rates

The U.S. Labor Market Continues to See Positive Gains

November 16, 2018

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Banks have varying perspectives on the current economy. Some are trimming their sales on credit card issuance and limits; others are growing the balances on credit cards. This could reflect the difference between subprime and affluent borrowers and anxiety about how one or the other group will react to an economic downturn.
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Economy / Rates

How Banks' Differing Perspectives Are Impacting the Lending Environment

November 14, 2018

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Major banks are expected to experience strong earnings growth in the third quarter - growth significantly over that of the entire S&P 500, in fact. But a number of issues, including slow loan growth, are likely to hold back bank stock performance despite the forecast strong earnings.
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Economy / Rates

Banks Face Slow Loan Growth

November 6, 2018

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Competitive pressures and rising interest rates are affecting the interest rates banks offer on their savings products. Rates on the latter are climbing, which pressures banks' margins.
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